Escalation Between Venezuela and Colombia

The recent defeat of Tamil Tigers by Sri Lankaneconomic condition, loss of domestic desire for more
leadership reminded the world of a simple truth. It beingimperial adventures, and change in political leadership
that even decades long civil wars can come to an endmeans time is running out for a military solution.
through the sustained use of violence instead ofVenezuela's position is getting stronger and it doesn't
political settlement or outside mediators. This is goodhave rebels to fight like Colombia.
news and inspiration for Colombia's Harvard educatedColombia literally cuts off Venezuela geographically
lawyer president Alvaro Uribe. After all, Sri Lanka'sfrom its ally Ecuador, prevents meaningful cooperation
government was able to build up its military and politicalbetween the two in construction of infrastructure like
will for a fast paced, decisive, and successful endrailroads, and allows United States a springboard (that
game (something that eluded Colombia's military forextends from another puppet Panama) to exert
half a century now).influence on the continent. It is finally in America's
It's much easier for the international community to workinterest to end the decades old civil war there before
with the government responsible for mass war crimesBrazil and Venezuela end it themselves on their terms
if that government is victorious and not engaged in awhile gaining prestige in the meantime. Having a loyal
neverending quagmire. Uribe's military build up in recentpuppet inside the South American economic unification
years through Plan Colombia (with devoted,schemes would provide an important Trojan horse for
accelerated, financial, and technical support from BushWashington (the way England/Poland are used now
and Obama administrations) indicates that he is lookingas Trojan horses to slow down and disrupt EU
to imitate Sri Lanka's example of national unificationconsolidation as a center of force on the planet).
before Venezuela and her allies make it impossible.Time is also running out for Chavez. Even though US
Venezuela, with Russia's assistance and financialeconomic power is fading in the region (not to be
support, is about to open Western Hemisphere's firstconfused with the hard power of military presence),
factory for production of AK-103 rifles and ammunitionBrazil's is growing. Considering that Brazil is also
for them. Chavez's near future capability to annuallyColombia's neighbor, Lula Da Silva may soon be seen
produce 50,000 rifles and ammo will allow him to reallyas more constructive/inspirational in the region than
bolster the capability of FARC allies in Colombia'sChavez. Colombia under a government more
jungles. If the rumors of various anti-aircraft missilesfavorable to Bolivarian style continental unification
being provided by the Kremlin are correct, then FARCwould physically shut United States out of South
will also be able to neutralize Uribe's AmericanAmerica, provide more influence over the strategically
provided troop transport helicopters and aircraft thatkey Panama, and give Chavez led center-left Spanish
periodically terrorize forest villagers with chemicalspeaking cluster of countries a way to be co-equals
weapons (under the drug war fig leaf pretext ofwith Brazil in deciding continental policy.
eradicating coca plants).Uribe and Chavez thus both have great potential
Uribe seems to be running scared. That isrewards from a military confrontation if each man
demonstrated by his recent decision to give Unitedmanages to make it happen on his terms and control
States control over a number of Colombia's militarythe public perception after wards.
bases, to some civilian infrastructure like airports, and toThat is why Brazil must step in and actively work with
allow US troops immunity from prosecution. Noother global players with interests in the region (China in
self-respecting imperial puppet deepens his humiliatingresources such as Chilean copper and Russia in
dependency into Karzai status unless absolutelyinfrastructure development such as nuclear power
necessary. Puppets usually try to push for moreplants) to put pressure on Obama and deter
autonomy from Washington DC. In fact, Fidel Castro'sColombian government from emulating Sri Lanka's
recent article even went as far as to say Colombiamilitary solution. Brazil has shown its willingness to be a
was virtually annexed under Obama's watch. Ratherstrong sovereign power by acting independently from
than the statement being a rhetorical exaggeration,US in providing solutions during the Honduran coup
Castro points out that that at no previous period in timecrisis. Although Lula Da Silva has a center-left union
did the Colombian oligarchs allow American military toorganizing history and has more in common with
have as much control over their domain.Chavez than Obama, he can be the perfect bridge
Perhaps Uribe is hoping to avoid Saakashvili's fate bybetween the two. Obama for his part needs to break
having enough American troops on his territory toaway from the influence of some elites in American
deter a Venezuelan military response during the endmilitary establishment. The leak about Afghanistan
game. Once Colombian government launches an all outtroop build up deliberations and McChrystal's impudent
attack on FARC controlled zones to consolidatebehavior shows that there are elements in the
control over the country, it will want to also attackAmerican Military-Industrial complex that need to be
FARC's hiding and refueling safe havens in bordershown who the boss is. International pressure must
parts of Ecuador and Venezuela. Right now thosealso be applied on Chavez since he is a military man
safe havens help FARC out the way parts ofand may decide on some sort of violent preemption
Pakistan help out the Taliban. Considering Venezuela's(either sharp escalation of indirect aid to FARC rebels
arms purchases, the outcome of an attack byor even direct limited engagement if Colombian threat
Colombian military that doesn't also extend across theseems overwhelming or there is perception of
border may prove to be disastrous, humiliating, andAmerican weakness). If Brazil and other countries
inconclusive.agree with Chavez that FARC is a belligerent entity
Colombia is not a recently acquired protectorate like(the way an army is) rather than a terrorist
Georgia and has been a way for United States toorganization, it may begin the process of dialogue
destabilize the region for decades (to prevent Southtowards a non-violent political settlement.
American economic cooperation/integration the way itA regional war or Afghanistan style escalation
is occurring now). It makes sense for Uribe to think hisdragging major players is not what the American
country is safer from counterattack attack thanpeople on both continents in the Western Hemisphere
Georgia was. However, USA's current weakenedneed right now.